UNHCR Policy Brief No. 2 I Forecasting refugee return to Ukraine amid ongoing war and uncertainty [EN/UK]

Countries: Ukraine, World Source: UN High Commissioner for Refugees Please refer to the attached file. How Return Dynamics Could Shape Ukraine’s Recovery Policy Choices: Understanding Diverse Motivations and Intentions How many Ukrainian refugees are likely to return, and when? This UNHCR policy brief uses scenario-based modelling to explore how refugee return to Ukraine could unfold amid ongoing war and uncertainty. It doesn't make a single prediction. Instead, it shows how return could change