Somalia: El Niño 2026–27 in the East and Horn of Africa A predictable displacement crisis, and how to prevent it

Countries: Somalia, Kenya, South Sudan, Uganda Source: Danish Refugee Council Please refer to the attached file. El Niño is underway and strengthening over the Pacific, with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) emerging, raising concern over a return of the exceptionally wet conditions seen in late 2023, when El Niño and a positive IOD brought catastrophic flooding to the Horn of Africa after years of drought. El Niño's effects are not uniform: drier-than-normal conditions are already affecting